Did the Water Works get its math right? It doesn’t look like it, but maybe I’m missing something.
Here is sentence and table from the Water Works feasibility report regarding selling more water to a larger piece of New Berlin.
Based on an average day demand of 3.5 MGD, estimated annual revenues to Milwaukee Water Works for the combined existing and proposed service area are summarized in the following table:
The report also says that the commodity charge is the result of 3.5 MGD multiplied by 365 days per year multiplied by the wholesale rate of $0.668 per 1,000 gallons.
I did the math and came up with water sales of $853,370. The Water Works table, though, shows a total of $895,854 for the water sold to the eastern third of New Berlin sold in 2008 and the amount projected for the middle third’s first full year. Why the $42,484 difference? It’s not explained.
Later in the report, Water Works also cites the $853,370 figure, but says that the entire amount will be realized only through sales to the middle-third section of New Berlin. That amount actually is what is expected from the entire New Berlin sales area.
From the report:
This method assumes that the anticipated additional revenue from water sold in the “middle third” of New Berlin would have reduced the 2007 rate increase by a proportionate amount. The revenue requirement identified by the Public Service Commission of Wisconsin for the Water Works’ 2007 rate case was $4.0 million. This method assumes that the additional estimated revenue of $855,370 from the “middle third” of New Berlin would have reduced the revenue requirement by 21% to $3.1 million. The calculation assumes that the 6% rate increase that satisfied the $4.0 million revenue requirement would have been reduced to 4.7%, saving the average residential customer $1.60 per year.
The daily average demaind for the entire New Berlin area proposed to receive Milwaukee water would be 3.6 million gallons to 3.9 million gallons. The Water Works uses 3.5 million gallons per day in its calculations, presumably to be conservative in its revenue estimates. By attributing all the revenue to the middle third area, Water Works could be overstating by 100% the economic benefit of the expansion to Milwaukee water customers. Instead of $1.60 annually for each residential account (no big whoop to begin with), the benefit of the expansion could be as little as 80 cents.
Unless, of course, I’m totally missing something.